Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 43.7 | 43.5 | 42.7 |
Highlights
Last month was characterised by further sharp decline in new orders which in turn helped to ensure another steep drop in output. Total and foreign order books have been contracting for well over a year and backlogs have now been depleted for 15 consecutive months. Employment was also trimmed for a third month in a row, albeit only marginally as firms remain reluctant to let staff go. Still, despite the gloomy overall picture, business expectations for the year ahead climbed to a three-month high. That said, they remained well short of their historic norm. Input costs declined markedly and for a sixth successive month while factory gate prices were also slightly lower than in July.
In terms of national PMIs, the best performing member state was Greece (52.9) which, alongside Ireland (50.8), was the only country posting above the 50 mark. Spain (46.5), France (46.0), the Netherlands (45.9) and Italy (45.4) all lagged well behind but it was Austria (40.6) and Germany (39.1) that were the deepest in recession territory.
Third quarter Eurozone manufacturing is shaping up very poorly and the sector should be a drag on real GDP growth. With signs that this is beginning to feed through to services, prospects for economic activity in general through year end are looking increasingly poor. Moreover, with the region's ECDI now at minus 38 and the ECDI-P at minus 49, the economy is already falling well short of market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.