ConsensusActualPreviousRevised
Public Sector Net Borrowing£9.8B£10.76B£3.48B£-1.20B
Ex-Public Sector Banks£10.6B£11.58B£4.30B£-0.38B

Highlights

UK public sector borrowing excluding public sector banks -- hit £11.58 billion in August, topping the consensus forecast of £10.6 billion, and above borrowing of £8.10 billion in August of 2022. That's the fourth highest for the month of August since records began in 1993.

Today's data lift the UK RPI to minus 13 from minus 17 previously, while the RPI-P slips from 10 to 3.

July finances (ex public sector banks) were revised to a £383 million surplus from the £4.30 billion shortfall reported last month.

Headline public sector borrowing (PSNB) hit £10.8 billion in August, compared to the consensus forecast of £9.8 billion, and £7.3 billion a year earlier. July was revised to a surplus of £1.2 billion, compared to the initially reported £3.48 billion shortfall.

Self-assessment tax receipts for July and August (including payments received after the 31 July deadline) rose by £1.7 billion over the same period of 2022 to £13.3 billion, reflecting strong wage growth over the past year. That exceeds the £12.4 billion forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility.

Borrowing over the fiscal year that began in April rose by 38 percent to £69.6 billion. However, the year-to-date total is £11.4 billion below the £81.0 billion forecast by the OBR, potentially allowing the Treasury to consider the tax relief demanded by some quarters of the ruling Conservative Party ahead of an election likely to take place next year. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt will issue a fiscal policy statement on 22 November.

Public sector net debt rose to 98.8 percent of gross domestic production from 96.5 percent in July of 2022, continuing at levels last seen in the early 1960's, according to the Office for National Statistics.

Interest payable on central government debt fell by £3.1 billion from August of 2022 to £5.6 billion.

Debt payments could continue to rise if the Bank of England extends its programme of interest rate hikes. The Bank had been widely expected to announce a 25 basis point increase in Bank Rate to 5.5 percent later on Thursday, but swaps markets now point to a slightly-better-than even probability of a pause after yesterday's unexpected fall in August inflation to 6.7 percent from 6.8 percent in July.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Overall borrowing (PSNB) is seen at £9.6 billion, up from £3.48 billion in July.

Definition

The public sector net borrowing requirement (PSNB) is the difference between the sector's receipts and expenditure and so provides a simple measure of government fiscal policy. In response to the global economic crisis in 2008/09 the UK government introduced a number of measures designed to show the underlying state of public sector finances by omitting temporary distortions caused by financial interventions. It bases its fiscal policy on these measures. To this end, the underlying gauge of government borrowing watched most closely by financial markets is the PSNB-X which takes overall net borrowing (PSNB) but excludes public sector banks.

Description

Changes in public sector finances can be used to determine the thrust of the government's fiscal policy. Generally speaking when the government has a rising deficit (or falling surplus) it is loosening its fiscal stance with a view to boosting economic activity. When its deficit is falling (or surplus rising), fiscal policy is being tightened in order to slow economic growth. However, sometimes changes in government financial positions can be due to factors outside of the government's control and do not signal an explicit shift in policy. This means that great care is needed in interpreting the data.
Upcoming Events

CME Group is the world’s leading derivatives marketplace. The company is comprised of four Designated Contract Markets (DCMs). 
Further information on each exchange's rules and product listings can be found by clicking on the links to CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX.

© 2025 CME Group Inc. All rights reserved.