Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.02% | 0.39% | |
Year to Date on Y/Y Basis | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
Highlights
Fixed asset investment and other key activity data published today show weaker year-over-year growth and near-zero month-over-month growth in July. This further loss of momentum in China's economic recovery is in line with PMI survey data and the assessment of senior China's leadership that the economy is facing"difficulties and challenges". Along with weak inflation data published last week, today's activity data may strengthen the case for some policy measures to support stronger demand.
With today's activity data weaker than expected, the China ECDI has fallen from 14 to minus 71 and the ECDI-P has dropped from 20 to minus 100, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are now coming in far below consensus forecasts after recent outperformance.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investment in fixed assets therefore provides information about near-term and future economic growth. Investors need to closely track the economic growth because it usually dictates how investments will perform. Investors in the stock market like to see healthy economic growth because robust business activity translates to higher corporate profits. Bond investors are more highly sensitive to inflation and robust economic activity could potentially pave the road to inflation. By tracking economic data such as GDP, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.