Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
CPI - M/M | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
CPI - Y/Y | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
Core CPI - M/M | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Core CPI - Y/Y | 3.3% | 3.5% |
Highlights
Underlying price pressures also moderated in July. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 3.3 percent on the year after a previous increase of 3.5 percent, and advanced 0.2 percent on the month after a previous increase of 0.1 percent. Several categories of spending recorded smaller year-over-year price increases, including housing and utilities, furnishing and household equipment, and education costs.
At its most recent policy meeting mid-July the BoK left policy rates on hold for the fourth meeting in a row after they increased rates by a cumulative 275 basis points since late 2021. Officials noted then that the recent fall in inflation partly reflected the base effects of previous increases in global oil prices and advised they expect headline inflation to fluctuate around 3.0 percent for the rest of the year. Today's data showing inflation falling further below that level suggests that officials will remain confident that additional policy tightening is not required in coming months.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from mortgages and auto loans to government securities. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.