Crop Conditions Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/20 | 08/13 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 58 | 59 | -1 | 55 | 64 | 87(1986) | 16(1988) | 175.1 | 94.096 |
Iowa | 60 | 58 | +2 | 66 | 66 | 99(1994) | 2(1988) | 203.0 | 13.400 |
Illinois | 64 | 64 | 0 | 70 | 67 | 96(1986) | 3(1988) | 201.0 | 11.500 |
Nebraska | 61 | 61 | 0 | 43 | 69 | 98(1986) | 30(2012) | 184.0 | 9.500 |
Minnesota | 45 | 44 | +1 | 67 | 70 | 90(2010) | 2(1988) | 183.0 | 8.400 |
Cotton: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/20 | 08/13 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 | 50 | 74(1987) | 31(2022) | 947.0 | 11.087 |
Texas | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | 38 | 72(2004) | 11(2022) | 796.0 | 6.117 |
Georgia | 69 | 67 | +2 | 66 | 64 | 82(1991) | 10(1986) | 975.0 | 1.200 |
Oklahoma | 14 | 27 | -13 | 7 | 52 | 91(2017) | 1(2011) | 348.0 | 0.570 |
Arkansas | 76 | 75 | +1 | 67 | 78 | 89(2020) | 16(1989) | 1196.0 | 0.480 |
Soybeans: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/20 | 08/13 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 59 | 59 | 0 | 57 | 63 | 73(1992) | 20(1988) | 50.9 | 83.505 |
Illinois | 65 | 70 | -5 | 68 | 66 | 93(1986) | 12(1988) | 62.0 | 10.000 |
Iowa | 59 | 58 | +1 | 62 | 65 | 96(1994) | 4(1988) | 58.0 | 9.700 |
Minnesota | 53 | 47 | +6 | 67 | 66 | 88(2010) | 6(1993) | 49.0 | 7.500 |
North Dakota | 46 | 49 | -3 | 58 | 56 | 89(2010) | 12(2021) | 33.0 | 5.650 |
Spring Wheat: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/20 | 08/13 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 38 | 42 | -4 | 64 | 63 | 82(2010) | 34(2017) | 46.2 | 11.140 |
North Dakota | 39 | 42 | -3 | 74 | 67 | 88(2009) | 32(1997) | 50.0 | 5.600 |
Montana | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 | 51 | 83(1987) | 8(2017) | 25.0 | 2.800 |
Minnesota | 57 | 48 | +9 | 87 | 76 | 90(2010) | 15(1993) | 61.0 | 1.140 |
South Dakota | 32 | 32 | 0 | 47 | 51 | 77(2010) | 8(2017) | 48.0 | 0.750 |
Crop Progress Summary | |||||||||
Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 08/20 | 08/13 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 39 | 24 | +15 | 31 | 46 | 93(1988) | 14(1993) | 46.2 | 11.140 |
North Dakota | 24 | 13 | +11 | 16 | 39 | 94(1988) | 5(2009) | 50.0 | 5.600 |
Montana | 60 | 39 | +21 | 48 | 45 | 81(2006) | 10(2011) | 25.0 | 2.800 |
Minnesota | 41 | 28 | +13 | 27 | 52 | 99(2012) | 12(2009) | 61.0 | 1.140 |
South Dakota | 75 | 54 | +21 | 82 | 75 | 100(2012) | 34(2019) | 48.0 | 0.750 |
Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 08/20 | 08/13 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 96 | 92 | +4 | 94 | - | 97(1985) | 90(1993) | 47.0 | 37.005 |
Kansas | 100 | 99 | +1 | 100 | - | 100(2022) | 100(2022) | 37.0 | 8.100 |
Texas | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | - | 100(2022) | 100(2022) | 30.0 | 6.400 |
Oklahoma | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | - | 100(2022) | 100(2022) | 28.0 | 4.600 |
Colorado | 99 | 97 | +2 | 100 | - | 100(2022) | 96(1993) | 25.0 | 2.300 |
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Aug 20, 2023 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Hightower | Range | Last Week | Last Year | ||
Progress - Percent Completed | |||||
Spring Wheat Harvested | 38 | 32 - 42 | 24 | 33 | |
Winter Wheat Harvested | 96 | 94 - 98 | 92 | 95 | |
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent | |||||
Corn Condition | 59 | 58 - 61 | 59 | 55 | |
Soybean Condition | 60 | 58 - 62 | 59 | 57 | |
Spring Wheat Condition | 42 | 41 - 43 | 42 | 64 | |
Highlights
Spring Wheat
Spring Wheat rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 20 was down 4% at 38% and poor / very poor was up 3% at 23%. Current G/EX is down 25% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 11% versus the 10 year average. Of the 6 reported states 1 reported better, 4 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: North Dakota 39%(-3%), Minnesota 57%(+9%), Montana 28%(-11%), South Dakota 32%(0%), Idaho 52%(-10%).
Corn
Corn rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 20 was down 1% at 58% and poor / very poor was up 2% at 15%. Current G/EX is down 6% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 3% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 3 reported better, 10 worse, and 5 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Iowa 60%(+2%), Illinois 64%(0%), Nebraska 61%(0%), Minnesota 45%(+1%), Indiana 66%(-1%).
Soybeans
Soybeans rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 20 was unchanged at 59% and poor / very poor was up 1% at 13%. Current G/EX is down 4% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 2% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 8 reported better, 8 worse, and 2 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Illinois 65%(-5%), Iowa 59%(+1%), Minnesota 53%(+6%), Indiana 68%(0%), Nebraska 58%(0%).
Cotton
Cotton rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 20 was down 3% at 33% and poor / very poor was up 3% at 46%. Current G/EX is down 17% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 26% versus the 10 year average. Of the 15 reported states 6 reported better, 6 worse, and 3 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Texas 10%(-4%), Georgia 69%(+2%), Arkansas 76%(+1%), Mississippi 60%(-7%), North Carolina 53%(0%).
Crop Progress
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat harvested as of August 20 was up 4% at 96%. This is up 2% versus last year. The top producing states report Kansas 100%(+1%), Washington 87%(+17%), Montana 78%(+8%), Illinois 100%(0%), Idaho 70%(+21%).
Spring Wheat
Spring Wheat harvested as of August 20 was up 15% at 39%. This is up 8% versus last year and down 7% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report North Dakota 24%(+11%), Minnesota 41%(+13%), Montana 60%(+21%), South Dakota 75%(+21%), Idaho 27%(+21%).
Definition
Description
Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.
Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.
Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.
Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.