Recent History
On FeedPlacementsMarketingsOn Feed
MonthMillion Head% YoYMillion Head% YoYMillion Head% YoY90+ Days
Feb-2311.70495.9%1.73893.0%1.73495.0%6.258
Mar-2311.65095.5%1.99299.4%1.97798.9%6.372
Apr-2311.61295.6%1.75896.4%1.70289.9%6.125
May-2311.61796.6%1.955104.6%1.946101.7%6.291
Jun-2311.55297.1%1.678102.7%1.95795.0%6.025
Jul-2311.20498.2%1.61891.7%1.72794.7%6.007
Aug-2311.03097.7%----5.987

Highlights

The Cattle on Feed Report showed placements for the month of July at 91.7% of last year versus an average trade expectation of 94.5% and a range from 90.4% to 96.5%. Marketings came in at 94.7% versus 94.8% expected (range 94.5%-95.1%). August 1 on feed supply was 97.7% of last year versus 98.4% expected (range 98% to 99.1%).

The Cattle on Feed report was bullish, as both placements and on feed came in lower than the average expectations. This could spark a move higher this week, as the report confirms once again the tight supply situation. Based on the report, we look for cattle to open 0.50-1.00 higher on Monday.

Definition

This file contains the monthly total number of cattle and calves on feed, placements, marketings, and other disappearances; by class and feedlot capacity for selected states; number of feedlots and fed cattle marketings by size groups for selected states. Data is organized by state and by U.S.

Description

This report offers a timely update on the current makeup of the beef cattle herd. It is probably the most-watched of the USDA reports for the cattle markets and can be a market-moving event if it contains a surprise. The marketings number provides an indicator of recent demand and has the ability to affect the price of nearby futures contracts. The placements number offers insight on the future supply of market ready cattle and has a tendency to affect the deferred contracts. Cattle are placed on feed for anywhere from 90 to 180 days, so a large placements number in June would project large market-ready supply in the fall. Both the placements and the marketings numbers inform the on feed number, which is a measure of current supply. The report offers state-by-state breakdowns as well by various weight groupings, providing an opportunity for further, in-depth analysis. Cattle on Feed reports are usually released on Friday afternoons after the cattle futures market closes, and the results will be reflected on the opening the following Monday morning.
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