Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 42.7 | 42.7 | 43.4 |
Highlights
Production (42.7) also fell at the fastest rate in more than three years as total new orders extended their downswing on the back of losses in both the domestic and overseas markets. Not for the first time, output would have declined even more sharply but for a further unwinding of backlogs. A decline in input purchasing was similarly steep and the fastest since May 2020 while headcount was also down again. Input costs fell further too and by the most since May 2009 which allowed manufacturers to cut factory gate prices for a third month running and by the most in almost 14 years.
In terms of national PMIs, the best performing country was again Greece (53.5), which was the only member state to post above 50. Spain (47.8) and Ireland (47.0) were not too far behind but the Netherlands (45.3), France (45.1), Italy (44.5), Germany and Austria (both 38.8) were all deep in recession territory.
The July update shows Eurozone manufacturing mired in recession with no obvious sign of any recovery. Inflation developments have been positive for a while but until the service sector follows suit, the ECB will not be impressed. The region's ECDI now stands at 4 and the ECDI-P at minus 9. Together, the measures show overall economic activity running broadly in line with market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.