Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims - Level | 240K | 230K to 245K | 239K | 248K | 250K |
Initial Claims - Change | -11K | 21K | 23K | ||
4-Week Moving Average | 234.25K | 231.00K | 231.50K |
Highlights
Given the two previous weeks of initial claims increases totaling 29,000, the four-week moving average still rose 2,750 to 234,250 in the August 12 week, the highest level in about a month.
Insured jobless claims rose 32,000 to 1.716 million in the week ended August 5, lifting the insured unemployment rate to 1.2 percent after three weeks at 1.1 percent.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
There's a downside to it, though. Unemployment claims, and therefore the number of job seekers, can fall to such a low level that businesses have a tough time finding new workers. They might have to pay overtime wages to current staff, use higher wages to lure people from other jobs, and in general spend more on labor costs because of a shortage of workers. This leads to wage inflation, which is bad news for the stock and bond markets. Federal Reserve officials are always on the look-out for inflationary pressures.
By tracking the number of jobless claims, investors can gain a sense of how tight, or how loose, the job market is. If wage inflation looks threatening, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise, bond and stock prices will fall, and the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who tracked jobless claims and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.
Just remember, the lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market, and vice versa.