Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | |
Year over Year | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% |
Highlights
Manufacturing expanded a slightly larger 1.4 percent on the month, its best performance in six months and its third gain in the last four. Output was higher in most industries, notably machinery and equipment (1.5 percent), transport equipment (1.0 percent) and other manufacturing (also 1.0 percent). The volatile coke and refined petroleum products category surged 45.1 percent after strike-related losses earlier in the year and food and drink rose 1.6 percent, its first advance since February. Elsewhere, construction climbed 0.9 percent and mining and quarrying, energy, water supply and waste management 0.2 percent.
May's solid gain flies in the face of the manufacturing sector PMI (45.7) and puts average industrial production so far this quarter 1.3 percent above its first quarter mean. Accordingly, goods producing industries are well placed to add to second quarter GDP growth. To this end, today's report lifts the French ECDI (8) and ECDI-P (10) back into positive surprise territory for the first time in a while implying that economic activity in general is now running a little ahead of market expectations.