Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Public Sector Net Borrowing | £27.5B | £17.67B | £19.22B | £15.78B |
Ex-Public Sector Banks | £28.3B | £18.49B | £20.05B | £16.60B |
Highlights
For the financial year to date, the PSNB-X was £54.4 billion, some £12.2 billion more than in the same period last year but £7.5 billion less than forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility. Public sector net debt reached £2,596.2 billion, about 100.8 percent of GDP, the highest since the 1960's.
Despite falling significantly below market expectations, borrowing remains substantial. Still, the trend is in the right direction and, by undershooting the OBR forecast, current levels may be seen by the government as providing some leeway for pre-election tax cuts. The June report lifts the UK ECDI to 10 and the ECDI-P to 38, both measures showing economic activity in general also outperforming forecasters' predictions.