Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Year over Year | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
Highlights
The increase in headline GDP growth in the three months to June mainly reflects a smaller decline in investment spending and stronger net exports. Investment fell 0.1 percent in the three months to June after dropping 0.7 percent in the three months to March. Export growth weakened on the quarter, but this was outweighed by a bigger slowdown in imports. Offsetting these effects, private consumption expenditure weakened, falling 0.1 percent on the quarter after a previous increase of 0.6 percent.
At their most recent policy meeting earlier in the month, officials at the Bank of Korea left policy rates on hold at 3.50 percent for the fourth time in a row. This decision reflected officials' assessment that inflation is likely to stabilise around 3.0 percent for the rest of the year. Officials also argued that domestic growth has shown signs of picking up from recent weakness and expressed optimism that private consumption and exports will strengthen in coming months. They continue to forecast that South Korea's economy will grow 1.4 percent in 2023.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Gross domestic product (GDP) can be measured using three approaches, namely the production, income and expenditure approaches. The production measure of GDP is derived from firm level data and estimates the value added by all producing industries in the South Korea economy. The income measure of GDP is derived from earnings data and estimates how the income earned from these producing industries is then distributed throughout the economy as returns to labor, capital and government. The expenditure measure of GDP is derived from data estimating spending on goods and services by final end users and includes consumption, investment and exports minus the value of imports.