The S&P Global Singapore PMI survey shows growth in the aggregate economy continued to slow but was still solid in June, thanks to new orders, with the survey's headline index sliding to 54.1 after falling to 54.5 in May from a five-month high of 55.3 in April. Business sentiment hit an eight-month high, with hopes of sustained growth in sales.

Demand for goods and services rose in June, extending the sequence of expansion that began in January but foreign demand marked a mild contraction. Output rose at the fastest rate since last October, led by the real estate and business services sector.

Improved supply chains helped delivery times shorten by one of the greatest degrees on record while output price inflation slipped to a 26-month low. Overall business confidence also improved in June.

Purchasing activity rose in line with continued demand growth. This contributed to overall stocks of purchases expanding at the most rapid rate since last July, led by the wholesale and retail sector.

Employment conditions remained subdued, with staffing levels fractionally lower than in May.

Overall input cost inflation eased in June due to slower purchase price and wage increases, which rose at the weakest paces since November 2021 and March 2023, respectively. Firms hiked their output prices at the most moderate pace in just over two years.

The Nikkei Singapore PMI is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to executives in over 400 private sector companies, selected to accurately represent the true structure of the Singapore economy, including manufacturing, services, construction and retail. The panel is stratified by Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) group, based on industry contribution to GDP. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month based on data collected mid-month. For each of the indicators the ‘Report’ shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of higher/better responses and lower/worse responses, and the ‘diffusion’ index. This index is the sum of the positive responses plus a half of those responding ‘the same’.

The Purchasing Managers’ Index is a composite index based on five of the individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders - 0.3, Output - 0.25, Employment - 0.2, Suppliers’ Delivery Times - 0.15, Stock of Items Purchased - 0.1, with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction.

Diffusion indexes have the properties of leading indicators and are convenient summary measures showing the prevailing direction of change. An index reading above 50 indicates an overall increase in that variable, below 50 an overall decrease.

The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) survey has developed an outstanding reputation for providing the most up-to-date possible indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. The indices are widely used by businesses, governments and economic analysts in financial institutions to help better understand business conditions and guide corporate and investment strategy. In particular, central banks in many countries use the data to help make interest rate decisions. PMI surveys are the first indicators of economic conditions published each month and are therefore available well ahead of comparable data produced by government bodies.

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the purchasing managers' manufacturing indexes, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.