Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 52.5 | 55.6 | |
Services Index | 53.9 | 57.1 | 55.9 |
Highlights
The Econoday Consensus Divergence Index stood at minus 64, far below zero, which indicates the Chinese economy is performing much worse than expected. Excluding the impact of inflation, the index was at minus 75.
The S&P Global business activity index for China's services sector plunged to 53.9 in June after rising to 57.1 in May from 56.4 in April. The rate of growth in new orders decelerated to a six-month low but services providers continued to benefit from a revival in tourism and travel since the easing of pandemic restrictions in December.
Looking 12 months ahead, business sentiment in China's services sector showed its first improvement in five months, with many firms foreseeing stronger economic conditions and more new work to support growth.
Employment grew across the sector as companies looked to expand capacity amid the sustained upturn in new business. Though modest, the rate of job creation was the strongest in three months. Input prices rose solidly but prices charged by service providers rose only slightly in June. Some companies are raising their fees to reflect higher costs while others are trying to remain price-competitive.
China's manufacturing PMI survey released Monday showed conditions in the sector remained above the neutral level in June but its headline index slipped to 50.5 after rising to 50.9 in May from 49.5 in April.
Official CFLP PMI survey data released last week indicated factory activity in China contracted for the third straight month in June as the world's second-largest economy struggles to recover from the impact of the pandemic in the face of slower global demand. The non-manufacturing sector remains in growth territory after Beijing lifted its Covid restrictions on economic activity in December but is losing some steam.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
The S&P China Composite PMI is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index, and is based on original survey data collected from a representative panel of over 800 companies based in the Chinese manufacturing and service sectors.