Crop Conditions Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 07/09 | 07/02 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 55 | 51 | +4 | 64 | 68 | 85(1994) | 15(1988) | 173.3 | 94.096 |
Iowa | 61 | 61 | 0 | 81 | 74 | 98(1994) | 13(1988) | 200.0 | 13.400 |
Illinois | 39 | 36 | +3 | 65 | 65 | 96(1986) | 4(1988) | 214.0 | 11.500 |
Nebraska | 62 | 49 | +13 | 63 | 74 | 96(1987) | 32(1988) | 165.0 | 9.500 |
Minnesota | 61 | 61 | 0 | 66 | 70 | 92(1994) | 7(1988) | 195.0 | 8.400 |
Cotton: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 07/09 | 07/02 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 | 50 | 75(1994) | 28(2011) | 947.0 | 11.087 |
Texas | 33 | 34 | -1 | 21 | 37 | 69(2010) | 11(2011) | 796.0 | 6.117 |
Georgia | 62 | 61 | +1 | 60 | 67 | 94(1991) | 21(2011) | 975.0 | 1.200 |
Oklahoma | 51 | 56 | -5 | 36 | 58 | 87(1994) | 5(2011) | 348.0 | 0.570 |
Arkansas | 69 | 74 | -5 | 80 | 78 | 100(1987) | 15(1989) | 1196.0 | 0.480 |
Soybeans: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 07/09 | 07/02 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 51 | 50 | +1 | 62 | 65 | 79(1994) | 16(1988) | 49.5 | 83.505 |
Illinois | 36 | 30 | +6 | 63 | 63 | 89(1987) | 11(1988) | 63.0 | 10.000 |
Iowa | 52 | 53 | -1 | 79 | 72 | 95(1994) | 22(1988) | 58.5 | 9.700 |
Minnesota | 61 | 64 | -3 | 64 | 68 | 84(1994) | 9(1993) | 50.0 | 7.500 |
North Dakota | 51 | 57 | -6 | 69 | 66 | 87(2010) | 20(2021) | 35.0 | 5.650 |
Spring Wheat: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 07/09 | 07/02 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 47 | 48 | -1 | 70 | 63 | 84(1993) | 6(1988) | 46.2 | 11.140 |
North Dakota | 42 | 40 | +2 | 81 | 67 | 93(1991) | 4(1988) | 50.0 | 5.600 |
Montana | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 | 55 | 83(2018) | 6(1988) | 25.0 | 2.800 |
Minnesota | 62 | 63 | -1 | 70 | 70 | 86(1990) | 0(1988) | 61.0 | 1.140 |
South Dakota | 29 | 26 | +3 | 67 | 52 | 91(1993) | 4(2021) | 48.0 | 0.750 |
Winter Wheat: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 07/09 | 07/02 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 40 | 40 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 67(1987) | 27(1989) | 47.0 | 37.005 |
Kansas | 18 | 16 | +2 | - | - | 76(1993) | 4(1989) | 37.0 | 8.100 |
Texas | 39 | 39 | 0 | - | - | 48(1993) | 5(1989) | 30.0 | 6.400 |
Oklahoma | 45 | 45 | 0 | - | - | 44(1993) | 18(1995) | 28.0 | 4.600 |
Colorado | 59 | 56 | +3 | - | - | 81(1993) | 29(1989) | 25.0 | 2.300 |
Crop Progress Summary | |||||||||
Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 07/09 | 07/02 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 46 | 37 | +9 | 62 | 61 | 76(2012) | 43(1995) | 47.0 | 37.005 |
Kansas | 59 | 46 | +13 | 93 | 86 | 100(2012) | 37(1995) | 37.0 | 8.100 |
Texas | 93 | 86 | +7 | 97 | 93 | 99(2020) | 82(2007) | 30.0 | 6.400 |
Oklahoma | 95 | 80 | +15 | 100 | 97 | 100(2022) | 70(2007) | 28.0 | 4.600 |
Colorado | 1 | 0 | +1 | 25 | 32 | 97(2012) | 6(1995) | 25.0 | 2.300 |
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Jul 09, 2023 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Hightower | Range | Last Week | Last Year | ||
Progress - Percent Completed | |||||
Winter Wheat Harvested | 48 | 45 - 50 | 37 | 63 | |
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent | |||||
Corn Condition | 53 | 50 - 54 | 51 | 64 | |
Soybean Condition | 51 | 49 - 53 | 50 | 62 | |
Spring Wheat Condition | 48 | 46 - 50 | 48 | 70 | |
Winter Wheat Condition | 40 | 39 - 42 | 40 | - | |
Highlights
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of July 09 was unchanged at 40% and poor / very poor was down 1% at 28%. Current G/EX is up 9% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is down 15% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 8 reported better, 4 worse, and 6 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Kansas 18%(+2%), Washington 54%(+3%), Montana 52%(+3%), Illinois 77%(0%), Idaho 53%(+5%).
Spring Wheat
Spring Wheat rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of July 09 was down 1% at 47% and poor / very poor was up 4% at 16%. Current G/EX is down 16% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 2% versus the 10 year average. Of the 6 reported states 3 reported better, 2 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: North Dakota 42%(+2%), Minnesota 62%(-1%), Montana 50%(-8%), South Dakota 29%(+3%), Idaho 66%(+2%).
Corn
Corn rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of July 09 was up 4% at 55% and poor / very poor was down 1% at 14%. Current G/EX is down 13% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 6% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 11 reported better, 4 worse, and 3 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Iowa 61%(0%), Illinois 39%(+3%), Minnesota 61%(0%), Nebraska 62%(+13%), Indiana 53%(+1%).
Soybeans
Soybeans rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of July 09 was up 1% at 51% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 15%. Current G/EX is down 14% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 6% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 11 reported better, 6 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Illinois 36%(+6%), Iowa 52%(-1%), Minnesota 61%(-3%), Indiana 55%(+2%), North Dakota 51%(-6%).
Cotton
Cotton rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of July 09 was unchanged at 48% and poor / very poor was up 4% at 25%. Current G/EX is down 2% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 8% versus the 10 year average. Of the 15 reported states 6 reported better, 6 worse, and 3 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Texas 33%(-1%), Georgia 62%(+1%), Arkansas 69%(-5%), Mississippi 73%(+9%), North Carolina 62%(+5%).
Crop Progress
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat harvested as of July 09 was up 9% at 46%. This is down 16% versus last year and down 15% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Kansas 59%(+13%), Washington 1%(+1%), Montana 0%(0%), Illinois 88%(+6%), Idaho 1%(+1%).
Definition
Description
Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.
Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.
Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.
Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.