Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Year over Year | -2.4% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -2.9% |
Highlights
Softness in mid-quarter was driven by food, drink and tobacco where demand contracted a monthly 0.5 percent, its fourth straight drop. Non-food sales, excluding auto food edged up 0.1 percent after a 0.3 percent increase in April while auto fuel purchases dipped 0.3 percent.
Regionally, France (minus 0.7 percent) also posted a fourth successive decline but both Germany (0.4 percent) and Spain (0.2 percent) recorded modest gains. Elsewhere it was the usual mixed picture.
Today's update does nothing to improve a decidedly weak picture of Eurozone retail sales. Average purchases in April/May were 0.3 percent below their first quarter mean and, revisions aside, June will need a monthly rise of at least 1.0 percent just to secure a neutral contribution to quarterly GDP growth. The May data leave the region's ECDI (minus 39) and the ECDI-P (minus 43) deep in negative surprise territory showing that economic activity in general continues to fall well short of market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.