Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 4.230M | 4.200M to 4.300M | 4.16M | 4.30M |
Month over Month | -3.3% | 0.2% | ||
Year over Year | -18.9% | -20.4% |
Highlights
The total supply of homes available for sale inches up to 3.1 months' worth in June after 3.0 months in May. The mean price of an existing home is up 3.5 percent to $410,200 in June from the prior month and down 0.9 percent from the record high of $413,800 in June 2022."Perhaps home prices are beginning to firm up" or settle, said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
In June, 33 percent of properties sold above list price which means that at least 1/3 of transactions have multiple offers compared to 50 percent with offers above list price a year ago. Nonetheless,"It is a tough market to be a buyer in the current environment", Yun said. He added, there is no"meaningful difference across price categories."
Yun noted that the gap between the number of existing homes on the market and new homes is now 2 to 1 compared to a more normal situation where there are about 5 existing homes to 1 new home.
The average days on the market is 18 in June and May compared to 14 days in June 2022. This remains a fast market with buyers snapping up units quickly in competition for limited stocks.
Yun summed up that sales are down 23 percent for the first half of 2023 compared to the first half of 2022. He said,"Homes sales are not clicking along with life changing events," like the birth of a child, children changing schools, or other altered circumstances.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Even though home resales don't always create new output, once the home is sold, it generates revenues for the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer.
Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month. Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, home resales have a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the existing home sales data carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.