Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.9% | -0.5% to 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Highlights
A special plus is core capital goods (nondefense ex-aircraft) which are revised 1 tenth higher to a strong 0.7 percent gain to match April's gain. These point to business confidence. Shipments of core capital goods rose 0.3 and 0.5 percent in May and April for a respectable start to second-quarter nonresidential fixed investment.
Another big plus in May's report is a second straight 0.8 percent rise for unfilled orders which will have forecasters marking up factory payrolls in Friday's employment report as manufacturers work down the build. Total shipments rose 0.3 percent but follow sharp 0.6 percent declines in the prior two months. Inventories edged 0.2 percent lower versus May 0.3 percent rise.
Though there are plenty of positives in the data the headline is a disappointment, pulling down Econoday's consensus divergence index a few points to plus 5 indicating that recent economic data, in sum, are coming in only marginally ahead of expectations.