Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 51.4 | 51.2 | 52.4 |
Services Index | 52.8 | 52.5 | 54.6 |
Highlights
However, the headline revision masked a somewhat stronger service sector where the 51.4 flash PMI was raised to 52.5. That said, this was still more than two points below its final 54.6 mark at the start of the quarter and its lowest reading since January. New orders declined for the first time since the start of the year led by weakness in the domestic market as overseas demand continued to rise. Employment growth also eased versus April, but the rate remained robust and above its long-term average. Even so, backlogs accumulated further, albeit by the least in the last four months. Looking ahead, companies were optimistic about the coming year but sentiment still dipped to a 3-month low.
Inflation pressures remain significant mainly due to higher salaries. However, despite this, cost inflation eased to a 20-month low. By contrast, output price inflation accelerated to its highest rate in three months.
In sum, today's update points to a loss of economic momentum in May. Quarterly growth should be positive but only sluggish at best. The French ECDI and ECDI-P remain well in negative surprise territory at minus 35 and minus 24 respectively. Economic activity in general continues to run well short of market expectations.