Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.3% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
Year over Year | 1.3% | -0.1% |
Highlights
Manufacturing expanded a slightly smaller 0.7 percent versus March when it also fell 1.1 percent. Machinery and equipment rose 1.4 percent, transport equipment 2.0 percent and other manufacturing 0.3 percent. The volatile coke and refined petroleum products category also surged, up 23.6 percent after a strike-impacted 45.2 percent slump previously. Food and drink fell 0.3 percent and, elsewhere, construction was up 0.8 percent.
April's partial recovery puts total goods production 0.6 percent above its average level in the first quarter. However, with the May manufacturing PMI (45.7) very weak and INSEE's business climate survey finding a further deterioration in sector confidence, the second quarter is still likely to struggle. To this end, today's report puts the French ECDI at minus 38 and the ECDI-P at minus 28, both readings showing that economic activity in general is falling well short of market expectations.