Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.2% | -0.1% | |
Year over Year | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Highlights
Food prices rose at a faster pace in May, up 1.0 percent on the year after a previous increase of 0.4 percent, while non-food prices were flat on the year after increasing 0.1 percent previously. Transportation and communication prices were again weak, falling 3.9 percent on the year after a previous decline of 3.3 percent, offset by solid increases in prices for health, education, and miscellaneous goods and services.
Comments from People's Bank of China Governor Yi Gang published today suggest that officials are not concerned about deflationary risks at present or contemplating a major change in policy settings. He attributed recent weakness in inflation to the base effects of price increases twelve months previously and expressed confidence that both economic activity and price pressures will pick up in the second half of the year. He also reiterated that monetary policy will be kept"stable" while arguing there is"ample policy room" to support economic recovery.
Today's update puts the China ECDI at 7 and the ECDI-P at 20, indicating that data are now outperforming market expectations after a recent period of underperformance.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The CPI measures the change in the level of prices for a specified basket of goods and services normally purchased by urban and rural residents. Approximately 226 areas throughout the country are covered, including 80 counties and 146 cities. The current CPI is an annually chained Laspeyres price index and has been available since 2001. From 1978 to 2000, the index was compiled using current year weights for most items.