Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Economic Sentiment | 96.0 | 95.3 | 96.5 | 96.4 |
Industry Sentiment | -5.8 | -7.2 | -5.2 | -5.3 |
Consumer Sentiment | -16.1 | -16.1 | -17.4 |
Highlights
At a sector level, confidence declined in industry (minus 7.2 after minus 5.3), services (5.7 after 7.1), retail trade (minus 6.0 after minus 5.3) and construction (minus 2.0 after minus 0.3). Only consumer sentiment registered an improvement (minus 16.1 after minus 17.4), albeit from a very weak level.
Regionally, the national ESI declined notably in Germany (93.4 after 95.3), but also lost ground in Spain (99.6 after 100.5) and Italy (101.2 after 102.3), while France gained ground for the second month in a row (96.4 after 95.6 and 93.3).
Today's data put the Eurozone ECDI at minus 24 and the ECDI-P at minus 28. Both measures signal a modest degree of overall economic underperformance versus market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Confidence indicators are calculated for industry, services, construction, retail trade and consumers. In turn, they are combined into an overall composite number, the economic sentiment indicator (ESI). The data are seasonally adjusted and defined as the difference (in percentage points of total answers) between positive and negative answers. The survey also covers other areas of the economy that are not explicitly included in the ESI. In particular, responses to questions about the inflation outlook are used by the ECB as one means of measuring inflationary expectations.