Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Year over Year | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Highlights
Household spending was only flat on the quarter after a 0.2 percent increase in the previous period and government consumption (minus 1.8 percent) subtracted for the first time in three quarters. However, gross fixed capital formation expanded 2.4 percent within which business investment rose 3.3 percent and so comfortably more than reversed the fourth quarter's 0.2 percent decline. Business inventories (excluding alignment and balancing) had a small positive impact, but this was essentially offset by net foreign trade as a 6.9 percent drop in exports more than offset a 3.8 percent decline in imports.
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower.
Currency traders prefer healthy growth and higher interest rates. Both lead to increased demand for a local currency. However, inflationary pressures put pressure on a currency regardless of growth. For example, if the UK reports that the consumer price index has risen more than the Bank of England's 2 percent inflation target, demand for sterling could decline. Similarly, when the Bank of England lowers interest rates, the pound sterling weakens. (Currency traders also watch the interest rate spread between countries.)