Actual | Previous | Consensus | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 53.0 | 54.5 | ||
Manufacturing Index | 46.3 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 48.0 to 49.7 |
Services Index | 54.1 | 55.1 | 53.5 | 53.0 to 54.0 |
Highlights
Manufacturing respondents reported the deepest contraction so far this year in new orders which points to general trouble for this sample in July. In contrast, services respondents reported what the report describes as a"robust" rate of new orders in line with prior months.
Services did, however, report slowing in employment reflecting difficulty in finding replacements for job leavers. Manufacturers reported slower job creation in line with a"substantial" decline in backlog work.
Optimism among the manufacturing sample is the lowest this year again in contrast to services where optimism is at the highest level since May last year.
Higher wages are driving up costs for service providers. Otherwise price results and commentary were flat.
These results are starkly mixed and leave Econoday's Consensus Divergence Indexes at 10 overall and also at 10 when excluding prices, readings indicating, on net, no more than modest outperformance for the US economy and do not yet signal a near-term rate hike by the Federal Reserve.