Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Index | -14.5 | -20.0 to -3.5 | -13.7 | -10.4 |
Highlights
New orders are also weaker this month, at minus 11.0 versus minus 8.9 in May, as are backlog orders at minus 18.5 versus plus 0.8 percent. These two readings alone will have economists forecasting a twelfth straight headline decline for July's report.
Employment among the sample is also down this month, at minus 0.4 which, however, is an improvement from April's minus 8.6. Shipments keep moving out the door at plus 9.9 but with backlogs low, steady production rates can't be guaranteed.
And in other less-than-positive readings, all this weakening isn't yet pulling down prices. The monthly pace of increase for input costs is little changed at 10.5 while selling prices remain steady at 0.1.
This report is offset perhaps by Empire State which was also released this morning and which has rebounded higher this month. But Empire State has been bouncing around wildly, unlike the Philadelphia report where the steady beat has been downbeat. Watch for industrial production coming up on the Econoday calendar at 9:15 a.m. ET.