Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.4% | -1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
Year over Year | -0.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
Highlights
Manufacturing fared no better, also contracting 1.1 percent on the month. Machinery and equipment declined 0.9 percent, food and drink 0.2 percent and other manufacturing 1.1 percent. The volatile coke and refined petroleum products category also nosedived fully 45.6 percent due to strike activity at refineries. Elsewhere, mining and quarrying, energy, water supply and waste management dropped 1.2 percent and construction 0.9 percent.
March's setback leaves total goods production last quarter unchanged versus the fourth quarter of 2022. On the same basis, manufacturing output fell 0.6 percent. Strike activity linked to pension reform was clearly an issue but underlying trends remain soft and the manufacturing PMI suggested no improvement in April. The second quarter is likely to be soft too. Today's report puts the French ECDI at 14 and the ECDI-P at exactly zero. Overall real economic activity is performing in line with market expectations.