Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Year over Year | 5.50% | 4.70% | 5.66% |
Highlights
Food and beverage prices, which account for more than half the weight of the CPI index, were the major factor driving headline inflation lower in April. These prices rose 4.22 percent on the year after increasing 5.11 percent previously. Fuel and light charges, around 8 percent of the index also rose at a slower pace, up 5.52 percent on the year after increasing 8.91 percent previously. Inflation in urban areas fell from 5.89 percent in March to 4.85 percent in April, while inflation in rural areas dropped from 5.51 percent to 4.68 percent.
The RBI left policy rates on hold at their most recent meeting held last month, after increasing them by a cumulative 250 basis points since May 2022. Officials stressed that they"remain resolutely focused on aligning inflation with the target" but also noted that previous policy tightening is"working through the system". They also promised to"remain focused" on withdrawing policy accommodation, though the fall in inflation shown today suggests officials may keep rates on hold again in upcoming meetings.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
CPI numbers presently compiled and released at national level for India reflect the fluctuations in retail prices pertaining to specific segments of population in the country -- industrial workers, agricultural labourers and rural labourers. These indexes do not encompass all the segments of the population in the country and as such do not reflect true picture of the price behavior in the country. To overcome the above, the Central Statistics Office (CSO) of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has started compiling new series of CPI for the entire urban population or CPI (Urban) and CPI for the entire rural population or CPI (Rural), which reflect the changes in the price levels of various goods and services consumed by the urban and rural population.