Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 228,000 | 261,559 | 213,865 | 213,780 |
Highlights
Urban starts rebounded roughly 26 percent to 241,585 units, led by another increase in multi-unit starts, which were up 33 percent on the month to 201,621, while single-detached starts fell 2 percent to 39,964. The large urban centers all recorded higher housing starts in April, of 54 percent for Toronto, 43 percent for Montreal and 36 percent for Vancouver.
The six-month trend for housing starts was down 0.2 percent to 240,403 in April.
Despite April's housing starts increase, CHMC Deputy Chief Economist Aled ab Iorwerth still expects a significant drop this year owing to constraints in new construction such as labor shortages combined with higher construction and borrowing costs. The CMHC expects housing starts to recover in 2024 and 2025, which supports the Bank of Canada's scenario, where housing trims GDP by 0.8 percentage points in 2023 before contributing a positive 0.4 points in 2024.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Once the home is sold, it generates revenues for the home builder and a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer. Refrigerators, washers and dryers, furniture, and landscaping are just a few things new home buyers might spend money on, so the economic"ripple effect" can be substantial. Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, housing starts have a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the housing starts data carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders, and home furnishings companies. Commodity prices such as lumber are also very sensitive to housing industry trends.