Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.3% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
Year over Year | -3.2% | -2.3% |
Highlights
The monthly setback reflected fresh falls in consumer goods (1.4 percent), intermediates (0.4 percent) and energy (1.4 percent). Capital goods rose 0.7 percent and was the only category to record positive yearly growth (3.9 percent).
March's disappointing results leave the goods producing sector mired in the recession that started back in the third quarter of last year. Moreover, with France (minus 1.1 percent) and Germany (minus 3.4 percent) both seeing even steeper monthly declines, Eurozone industrial production almost certainly had a very poor March. This could lead to a downward revision to the region's first quarter GDP growth (provisionally just 0.1 percent). The Italian ECDI now stands at exactly zero indicating that overall economic activity is matching market expectations. However, at minus 10, the ECDI-P shows that the real economy is struggling to keep up.