Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 54.4 | 54.1 | 53.7 |
Services Index | 56.6 | 56.2 | 55.0 |
Highlights
The downward headline revision came courtesy of services where the 56.6 flash sector PMI was trimmed to 56.2. That said, this was still 1.2 points above its final March print and points to a robust period for business activity. The improvement here was largely due to strength in new orders and backlogs, both of which recorded healthy gains. In turn, businesses added aggressively to headcount, which expanded by the most since May 2022. Even so, business confidence about the year ahead eased to a three-month low.
Inflation pressures remained elevated but rates for both input costs and output charges continued to decline. Of note, the latest rise in selling prices was the weakest in 14 months.
In terms of national composite output indices, the best performing country was Spain (56.3) which was just ahead of Italy (55.3). Germany (54.2), Ireland (53.5) and France (52.4) were also all above the 50-expansion threshold.
The final April results should be consistent with a pickup in Eurozone GDP growth this quarter, following a disappointingly sluggish 0.1 percent rate at the start of the year. That said, the PMIs overestimated the strength of the first quarter and so may be overly optimistic about the current period too. Today's update puts the region's ECDI at minus 14 and the ECDI-P at minus 5. In general, economic activity is beginning to fall marginally behind market expectations, but this will not stop the ECB hiking interest rates again later today.