Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.3% |
Year over Year | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
Highlights
Declining M4 lending was again a key factor, with March seeing a 0.2 percent monthly contraction, its third fall in as many months. Yearly lending growth now stands at minus 1.1 percent. Adjusted to exclude intermediate other financial corporations, monthly growth was flat, the first time the measure has been negative since January but still soft enough to reduce annual growth from minus 0.2 percent to minus 0.3 percent. Elsewhere, mortgage approvals were surprisingly firm, rising from 44,126 to 52,011 but lending (£0.02 billion after £0.67 billion) all but dried up. Net lending to individuals (£1.6 billion after £2.2 billion) similarly slowed, although overall consumer credit (£1.574 billion after £1.485 billion) was a little firmer.
Overall, the March data are again soft and suggest that the more interest rate sensitive sectors of the economy are responding to BoE tightening. Even so, the MPC still seems set to vote to raise Bank Rate again next week.