The MBA market index is up 6.3 percent in the May 5 week. It is down 0.7 percent from four weeks ago, and down 36.5 percent from a year earlier. MBA Deputy Chief Economist Joel Kan said,"Mortgage applications responded positively to a drop in rates last week, as the Fed signaled a potential pause at the current level for the federal funds rate in anticipation of inflation slowing and tightening financial conditions that will slow economic and job growth. Mortgage rates for all surveyed loan types decreased over the week with the 30-year fixed rate at 6.48 percent."

The contract rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage is down 2 basis points to 6.48 percent in the May 5 week, up 18 basis points from four weeks earlier, and up 95 basis points from a year earlier.

The purchase index is up 4.8 percent from the prior week, down 3.3 percent from four weeks earlier, and down 32.0 percent from a year ago. The refinance index is 10.0 percent higher week-over-week, up 6.2 percent from four weeks ago, and down 44.5 percent from the same time last year.

The May 5 index for fixed rate mortgages is up 6.8 percent from one week ago, down 1.5 percent from four weeks earlier, and is 33.7 percent lower than a year ago. The index for adjustable rate mortgages is down 0.3 percent week-over-week, up 11.9 percent from four weeks ago, and down 59.9 percent from a year ago. Consumers continue to opt for a fixed rate mortgage when rates are sufficiently favorable.

The Mortgage Bankers' Association compiles various mortgage loan indexes. The purchase applications index measures applications at mortgage lenders. This is a leading indicator for single-family home sales and housing construction.

This provides a gauge of not only the demand for housing, but economic momentum. People have to be feeling pretty comfortable and confident in their own financial position to buy a house. Furthermore, this narrow piece of data has a powerful multiplier effect through the economy, and therefore across the markets and your investments. By tracking economic data such as the Mortgage Bankers Association purchase applications, investors can gain specific investment ideas as well as broad guidance for managing a portfolio.

Each time the construction of a new home begins, it translates to more construction jobs, and income which will be pumped back into the economy. Once a home is sold, it generates revenues for the home builder and the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer. Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items new home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month.

Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, housing construction has a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the MBA purchase applications index carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.