Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims - Level | 255K | 250K to 270K | 242K | 264K |
Initial Claims - Change | -22K | 22K | ||
4-Week Moving Average | 244.25K | 245.25K |
Highlights
The decrease brought the four-week average down 1,000 to 244,250 from the previous week's unrevised level, indicating ongoing tightness in the labor market.
Insured jobless claims came down 8,000 to 1.799 million in the May 6 week, the lowest level since the week ended March 4. The four-week moving average decreased to 1.813 million from 1.828 million. The insured rate of unemployment remained at 1.2 percent for the third consecutive week.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
There's a downside to it, though. Unemployment claims, and therefore the number of job seekers, can fall to such a low level that businesses have a tough time finding new workers. They might have to pay overtime wages to current staff, use higher wages to lure people from other jobs, and in general spend more on labor costs because of a shortage of workers. This leads to wage inflation, which is bad news for the stock and bond markets. Federal Reserve officials are always on the look-out for inflationary pressures.
By tracking the number of jobless claims, investors can gain a sense of how tight, or how loose, the job market is. If wage inflation looks threatening, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise, bond and stock prices will fall, and the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who tracked jobless claims and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.
Just remember, the lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market, and vice versa.