Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.4% | 1.2% | -1.9% | -1.4% |
Year over Year | 1.3% | -2.2% | -1.6% |
Highlights
Manufacturing also had a much better time of it, increasing a monthly 1.3 after a 1.5 percent drop at the start of the year. Transport equipment (5.6 percent) was especially robust and there were additional gains in food and drink (1.6 percent), machinery and goods (0.9 percent), coke and refined petroleum products (0.7 percent) and other manufacturing (0.4 percent). Construction (1.6 percent) also posted a solid rise.
February's bounce puts average overall industrial production in the first two months of the quarter 0.7 percent above the fourth quarter mean. Absent revisions, March will need a monthly fall of at least 2.6 percent to prevent the sector from contributing positively to real GDP growth. As such, today's data significantly increase the likelihood of the economy having expanded last quarter. To this end, the French ECDI (25) and ECDI-P (15) continue to show that that economic activity in general is running somewhat ahead of market expectations.