Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 54.0 | 52.7 | 51.7 |
Services Index | 55.5 | 53.9 | 53.1 |
Highlights
The amendment in large part reflected slower growth in services where the flash sector PMI (55.5) was trimmed to a final 53.9. New orders rose modestly and employment continued to expand at a solid rate. Business confidence was also slightly higher than in mid-quarter. The increase in overall demand was wholly attributable to the domestic market as new export orders shrank marginally. Business confidence about the year ahead also strengthened slightly.
Input costs continued to rise at a rapid rate but base effects saw inflation ease to a 4-month low. In turn, selling prices extended their upswing but the rate of increase was at least somewhat slower than the 9-month peak seen in the previous month.
Despite the downward revision to the headline index, today's update bodes cautiously well for first-quarter GDP growth, which remains on course to beat the meagre 0.1 percent rate posted at the end of 2022. The French ECDI (11) and ECDI-P (4) remain in positive surprise territory but not by much, indicating only minor economic outperformance in general.