Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 243,000 | 213,865 | 243,959 | 240,927 |
Highlights
Urban starts contracted roughly 12 percent, led by a 16 percent fall in single-detached homes that was partly offset by an 11 percent increase in multi-unit starts.
Among the big urban centers, Montreal and Toronto recorded declines of 12 percent and 26 percent, respectively, while Vancouver saw a 98 percent surge as mullti-unit starts doubled from February.
The six-month trend for housing starts was down 6 percent to 240,669 in March.
"With interest rates remaining high, it continues to be challenging for developers and homebuilders to get projects started," the report said, stressing the need to innovate to increase housing supply.
The Bank of Canada expects housing activity to stabilize around mid-2023, with residential investment resuming in the second half of the year and support from immigration-related demand over the coming years. It projects housing to trim GDP by 0.8 percentage points in 2023 before contributing a positive 0.4 points in 2024.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Once the home is sold, it generates revenues for the home builder and a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer. Refrigerators, washers and dryers, furniture, and landscaping are just a few things new home buyers might spend money on, so the economic"ripple effect" can be substantial. Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, housing starts have a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the housing starts data carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders, and home furnishings companies. Commodity prices such as lumber are also very sensitive to housing industry trends.