ActualPrevious
Balance of TradeUS$4.22BUS$2.35B
Imports - Y/Y-20.1%-9.4%
Exports - Y/Y-19.1%-17.1%

Highlights

Taiwan's trade surplus widened from $2.35 billion in February to $4.22 billion in March. Exports fell 19.1 percent on the year after falling 17.1 percent previously, while imports dropped 20.1 percent after a previous decline of 9.4 percent. PMI survey data published last week showed Taiwan's manufacturing sector contracted for the tenth consecutive month in March.

Weakness in trade flows was broad-based across categories and trading partners. Exports of electronic components fell 14.6 percent on the year in March after dropping 17.8 percent in February, while exports of information, communication and audio-video products declined 15.8 percent after a fall of 9.0 percent previously. Exports to mainland China and Hong Kong were again weak, down 28.5 percent on the year after falling 30.2 percent previously, while year-over-year growth in exports to the United States dropped 20.7 percent after a previous fall of 13.7 percent. Petroleum imports weakened sharply, down 30.4 percent on the year after increasing 17.5 percent previously, while imports from mainland China and Hong Kong fell 26.5 percent after a previous decline of 19.5 percent.

Definition

The international trade balance measures the difference between imports and exports of both tangible goods and services. Imports may act as a drag on domestic growth and they may also increase competitive pressures on domestic producers. Exports boost domestic production. Trade balance values are calculated by deducting imports (cif) from exports (fob). The level of the international trade balance, as well as changes in exports and imports, indicate trends in foreign trade and can offer a guide to an economy's competitiveness.

Description

Changes in the level of imports and exports, along with the difference between the two (the trade balance) are a valuable gauge of economic trends here and abroad. While these trade figures can directly impact all financial markets, they primarily affect currency values in foreign exchange markets.

Imports indicate demand for foreign goods and services in the local economy. Exports show the demand for local goods in countries overseas. Movements in the trade balance directly affect GDP growth because of Taiwan’s high reliance on trade. Stronger exports are bullish for corporate earnings and the stock market. The bond market is also sensitive to the risk of importing inflation.

This report also gives a breakdown of trade with major countries as well, so it can be instructive for investors who are interested in diversifying globally. For example, a trend of accelerating exports to a particular country might signal economic strength and investment opportunities in that country.
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