Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 47.1 | 47.3 | 48.5 |
Highlights
Manufacturing output (50.4) actually crept a little higher but only on the back of declining backlogs as new orders shrank again and at much the same pace as in February. Purchasing activity was cut significantly and stocks of purchases fell at their fastest pace since May 2021. Shortages of staff helped to ensure that employment expanded at much the same modest pace as in mid-quarter but business expectations still hit a 3-month low.
More positively, weak demand and reduced production requirements helped to alleviate supplier bottlenecks and average vendor delivery times shortened by the most on record. This, alongside lower energy costs, led to the first decrease in input costs in almost three years. Factory gate charges continued to rise, but the rate of output price inflation eased to a 26-month low and was only marginally stronger than its historical average.
Regionally in terms of national PMIs, the best performing member state was Greece (52.8) which, together with Spain (51.3) and Italy (51.1), posted positive growth. Ireland (49.7) was not far behind and well ahead of France (47.3), the Netherlands (46.4) and, in particular, Germany and Austria (both 44.7).
Taken at face value, today's update suggests that Eurozone manufacturing activity will shrink this quarter and so limit what still looks likely to be positive overall GDP growth. The revised data put the Eurozone's ECDI at 4 and the ECDI-P at 9, both values indicating that economic activity in general is running much as expected.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.