Consumer prices were unrevised in the final data for March. With base effects strongly negative (the CPI rose a monthly 2.0 in March 2022), a 0.8 percent monthly increase was still small enough to slash the annual inflation rate from February's final 8.7 percent to 7.4 percent, its lowest mark since last August.

The final HICP also matched its flash estimate and so still shows a 1.1 percent monthly increase that cut its yearly rate from 9.3 percent to 7.8 percent, some 5.8 percentage points above the ECB's target.

The monthly slump in the annual CPI rate was driven by energy where inflation dropped from 19.1 percent to just 3.5 percent. The same factor lay behind a 2.6 percentage point slide in the overall goods rate to 9.8 percent. However, elsewhere, food (22.3 percent after 21.8 percent) continued to climb and services (4.8 percent after 4.7 percent) also edged higher. Consequently, core inflation (ex-food and energy), was a tick higher at 5.8 percent.

Today's inflation update reaffirms the stickiness of underlying prices and probably means that Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel will be calling for another 50 basis point hike at the ECB's May meeting. The German ECDI now stands at 21 and the ECDI-P at 25. Both measures signal a tidy degree of outperformance by economic activity in general.

No revisions to the provisional data are expected leaving a 0.8 percent monthly rise and a 7.4 percent annual inflation rate.

The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of the average price level of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Monthly and annual changes in the CPI provide widely used measures of inflation. A provisional estimate, with limited detail, is released about two weeks before the final data are reported.

The consumer price index is the most widely followed indicator of inflation. An investor who understands how inflation influences the markets will benefit over those investors that do not understand the impact. In countries such as Germany where monetary policy decisions rest on the central bank's inflation target, the rate of inflation directly affects all interest rates charged to business and the consumer. As a member of the European Monetary Union, Germany's interest rates are set by the European Central Bank.

Germany like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies. The preliminary release is based on key state numbers which are released prior to the national estimate. The states include North Rhine-Westphalia, Baden-Wuerttemberg, Saxony, Hesse, Bavaria and Brandenburg. The preliminary estimate of the CPI follows in the same day after the last of the state releases. The data are revised about two weeks after preliminary release.

Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.

By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.