Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
Year over Year | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
Highlights
Domestic prices were up 0.6 percent on the month, raising their yearly rate from 2.6 percent to 2.9 percent. The increase here was compounded by import prices which jumped fully 1.1 percent, although negative base effects meant that their annual rate still fell from 5.2 percent to 4.9 percent.
Within the CPI basket, significant contributions to the overall monthly rise came from food and non-alcoholic drink and clothing and footwear where prices advanced 1.1 percent and 3.7 percent respectively. Restaurants and hotels (1.6 percent) household goods and services (1.0 percent) and recreation and culture (1.3 percent) similarly posted solid gains. Petroleum products were only flat and there were no declines. As a result, core prices (excluding unprocessed food and energy) climbed fully 0.8 percent versus January, lifting the annual core rate by 0.2 percentage points to 2.4 percent, a new record high.
The broad-based acceleration in inflation in February probably all but guarantees another round of tightening from the SNB later this month. It also boosts the Swiss ECDI to 32 but with the ECDI-P at just minus 6, overall economic outperformance is wholly attributable to upside surprises on prices.