Hogs and Pigs Report Summary - March 1 Inventory
Current
Year
Million Head
Current Year
as Percent of
Last Year
Current Year
as Percent of
2 Years Ago
All Hogs and Pigs72.860100.298.5
Kept for Breeding6.127100.598.6
Kept for Market66.734100.298.5
Market Hogs and Pigs by Weight Group
Under 50 Pounds20.05999.899.1
50-119 Pounds18.97599.799.1
120-179 Pounds14.97399.997.4
180 Pounds and Over12.727102.198.2
Pig Crop
Dec-Feb32.058100.3100.0
Hogs & Pigs March 1 Inventory Estimates
HightowerLowHigh
All Pigs100.4%98.6%101.4%
Kept for Breeding100.6%100.0%101.0%
Kept for Market100.4%98.4%101.5%
Market Hogs and Pigs by Weight Group
Under 50 Pounds100.7%98.5%102.2%
50-119 Pounds100.3%98.5%101.5%
120-179 Pounds99.6%98.3%101.8%
180 Pounds and Over100.5%98.3%102.0%
Pig Crop
Dec-Feb101.2%100.8%101.9%

Highlights

The USDA Hogs and Pigs report showed March 1 supply at 100.2% of last year versus an average trade expectation of 100.4% and a range of expectations from 98.6% to 101.4%. Kept for breeding came in at 100.5% of last year versus 100.6% expected (range of 100% to 101%). Market hogs came in at 100.2% compared with expectations for 100.4% (range 98.4% and 101.5%). The December-February pig crop was 100.3% of last year versus expectations for 101.2% (range 100.8% to 101.9%).

Definition

This full-text report, issued four times yearly, presents data on the U.S. pig crop for 16 major states and the U.S., including inventory number by class, weight group, farrowings, and farrowing intentions. Pigs per litter and pig crop by quarter are also covered in the report. Data was gathered from a random sample of approximately 7,500 U.S. producers of varying sizes, though large operations were sampled more heavily.

Description

This report presents a quarterly accounting of hog and pig inventory and of the quarterly pig crop, i.e. pig production. It is the most complete information on pig supply that the USDA produces.

Inventory numbers are reported as of the first day of the month that the report is released. These numbers are not projections; they represent current supply data based on statistical surveys of hog producers. The report includes weight breakdowns, which is helpful in determining the how close hogs are to finishing and ready for slaughter. There is also a breakdown between the number that have been kept for breeding and those that will be sent to market. The “kept for breeding” number provides insight about herd expansion or contraction, while the “market” number provides information on more immediate supply. State-by-state breakdown are included as well.

In addition to the inventory numbers, the report presents quarterly pig crop, sows farrowing, and pigs per litter data. These numbers provide insight into hog production. Data on the previous two years is included, as well as forecasts for the next two quarters.
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