Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.4% | 0.6% | -0.2% |
Year over Year | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
Highlights
Moreover, the acceleration is wholly attributable to domestic prices which jumped fully 1.0 percent on the month, raising their yearly rate from 1.9 percent to 2.6 percent. The increase here more than offset the impact of weaker import prices which dropped 0.6 percent, reducing their annual rate from 5.8 percent to 5.2 percent.
Within the CPI basket, the sharpest upward effect on the overall monthly change came from housing and energy where a 1.8 percent gain added nearly 0.5 percentage points. Restaurants and hotels (2.1 percent), food and soft drink (1.4 percent) and alcohol and tobacco (1.0 percent) also saw sizeable rises. The main downward pressure came from a seasonal fall in clothing and footwear (6.4 percent) and cheaper transport (minus 0.6 percent) on the back of lower petroleum prices (minus 1.6 percent). As a result, core prices (excluding unprocessed food and energy) were flat at December's level but up 2.2 percent on the year after a 2.0 percent increase last time.
Today's update will not sit well with the SNB and increases the likelihood of another hike in the policy rate next month. However, it also puts the Swiss ECDI at 2 and the ECDI-P at minus 8 meaning that economic activity in general is moving broadly in line with market expectations.