Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
Year over Year | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Highlights
Manufacturing was rather weaker, gaining just 0.3 percent versus November when it rose a solid 2.4 percent. Coke and refined petroleum products (10.6 percent) again saw the largest increase but transport equipment (8.3 percent) and mining and quarrying, energy, water supply and waste management (6.0 percent) also had a very good month. Elsewhere, machinery and equipment fell 3.3 percent and food was off 1.7 percent but other manufacturing edged up 0.2 percent.
Despite December's increase, overall fourth quarter industrial production still declined 0.7 percent versus the previous period meaning that the sector subtracted from GDP growth. Still, at least manufacturing was up 0.2 percent and business surveys have been cautiously positive about January. In any event, today's update puts the French ECDI at minus 4 and the ECDI-P at 4. Both readings are close enough to zero to signal that economic activity in general is performing much as expected.