Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 2.2% | 0.5% to 4.9% | 1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
Highlights
Year-end business at Boeing was extremely heavy, evident by a more than doubling in commercial aircraft orders together with a 15.2 percent rise for defense aircraft. Other strong gains include mining and oilfield equipment up 7.4 percent, turbine and generators up 5.7 percent, and nondefense communications equipment up 4.4 percent.
Yet total machinery orders, which are at the heart of the capital goods group, fell 1.7 percent on the month following a 0.6 percent decline in November. Core capital goods (nondefense ex-aircraft) fell 0.1 percent following a 0.2 percent decline in November that together offset October's thin 0.3 percent gain. These results underscore weakness in business investment and business confidence.
Unfilled orders, skewed higher by a 2.4 percent surge in commercial aircraft, rose a very strong 1.3 percent. Inventories rose 0.4 percent while shipments fell 0.7 percent following November's 0.9 percent drop.
This report is mixed and if not for aircraft would be weak. The headline gain was a bit below expectations and is reflected in Econoday's Consensus Divergence Index which, at minus 4, indicates that recent US data are coming in a bit below expectations.