Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Change | 25bp | 25bp | 35bp |
Level | 6.50% | 6.50% | 6.25% |
Highlights
Data released since the RBI's previous meeting early December have shown further moderation in price pressures, though headline inflation remains well above the mid-point of the RBI's target range of 2.0 percent to 6.0 percent. Inflation fell from 6.77 percent in October to 5.88 percent in November and 5.72 percent in December, with January data scheduled for release next week. In the statement accompanying today's decision, RBI officials note that the recent fall in inflation mainly reflects vegetable prices, with core inflation pressures remaining high. They forecast headline inflation will remain between 5.0 percent and 6.0 percent for the rest of the current fiscal year and throughout the next fiscal year, with risks to this forecast considered to be evenly balanced. Officials, meanwhile, expect domestic economic activity to"remain resilient", supported by fiscal policy and solid consumer and business sentiment.
Reflecting this assessment, officials have decided that"further calibrated monetary policy action is warranted" to"break core inflation persistence". They also judge that this action will support medium-term growth prospects. Officials again promised to"remain focused" on withdrawing policy accommodation, suggesting they consider further rate increases will likely be warranted in upcoming meetings.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The Reserve Bank of India was established on April 1, 1935 in accordance with the provisions of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. The Central Office of the Reserve Bank was initially established in Calcutta but was permanently moved to Mumbai in 1937. The Central Office is where the Governor sits and where policies are formulated. Though originally privately owned, since nationalization in 1949, the Reserve Bank is fully owned by the Government of India. The Reserve Bank's affairs are governed by a central board of directors. The board is appointed by the Government of India in keeping with the Reserve Bank of India Act.
The Reserve Bank of India performs this function under the guidance of the Board for Financial Supervision (BFS). The Board was constituted in November 1994 as a committee of the Central Board of Directors of the Reserve Bank of India. Primary objective of BFS is to undertake consolidated supervision of the financial sector comprising commercial banks, financial institutions and non-banking finance companies. Its function is to advise the Central Board on local matters and to represent territorial and economic interests of local cooperative and indigenous banks; to perform such other functions as delegated by Central Board from time to time. Primary objective of BFS is to undertake consolidated supervision of the financial sector comprising commercial banks, financial institutions and non-banking finance companies. The Board is required to meet normally once every month. It considers inspection reports and other supervisory issues placed before it by the supervisory departments.