Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.2% | -0.2% | 0.0% |
Year over Year | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
Highlights
Domestic prices rose 0.1 percent on the month, lifting their 12-month rate from 1.8 percent to 1.9 percent. However, the increase here was more than offset by import prices which dropped 1.1 percent, reducing their yearly rate from 6.3 percent to 5.8 percent.
Within the CPI basket, the largest downward effect on the overall monthly change came from transport where prices fell 1.1 percent and alone subtracted more than 0.1 percentage point. However, most other categories also posted declines leaving just restaurants and hotels (1.7 percent) to show the only increase of any real size. Even so, this was enough to see core prices (excluding unprocessed food and energy) edge 0.1 percent firmer, nudging the annual underlying rate a tick higher to 2.0 percent.
Today's update increases the likelihood of inflation having peaked but the SNB will note that the core rate accelerated in both November and December and stickiness here will ensure that the central bank retains a tightening bias. The Swiss ECDI (minus 8) and ECDI-P (minus 3) continue to show limited overall economic underperformance versus market expectations.