Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Index | 48.8 | 48.9 | 49.0 | 49.0 |
Highlights
The au Jibun Bank final manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) based on a survey conducted by S&P Global edged down to a seasonally adjusted 48.9 (revised slightly from an initial 48.8) from 49.0 in November, when it dipped from 50.7 in October, slipping below the key line of 50 for the first time since January 2021. It compares with 50.8 in September, 51.5 in August, 52.1 in July, 52.7 in June, 53.3 in May, 53.5 in April and 54.1 in March. The current level is the lowest October 2020 and well below 55.4 recorded in January 2022, when the Omicron storm hadn't had a full impact on the economy and Russia hadn't invaded Ukraine yet.
Both output and new orders slumped in December but at slightly softer rates than in November. With output volumes falling at a slower pace than new orders, firms were able to focus on completing outstanding orders, as signaled by a third consecutive depletion in backlogged work, S&P Global said.
Firms were hopeful for a general market recovery in the new year but the degree of confidence was the weakest in seven months amid concerns over further price hikes and the relatively weak yen, which pushes up import costs, it noted.
Japan's industrial production posted a third straight monthly drop in November, down by a firmer-than-expected 0.1 percent, as global demand for electronic parts, notably from China, continues to shrink and output of general machines dips in reaction to higher demand the previous month, preliminary data released last week by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed. The METI's survey of producers indicated that output is likely to decline further in December and January.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Little change was expected in the final data. In the flash data released in December, the au Jibun Bank manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to a seasonally adjusted 48.8 from a final 49.0 in November, when it dipped from 50.7 in October, slipping below the key line of 50 for the first time since January 2021.