Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.8% | 2.0% | -2.6% | -2.5% |
Year over Year | 0.7% | -2.7% |
Highlights
Manufacturing was up a larger 2.4 percent versus mid-quarter when it nosedived 2.1 percent. Rebounds were seen in most areas, notably coke and refined petroleum products (90.6 percent) after a strike-hit November, machinery and equipment (5.3 percent) and other manufacturing (2.2 percent). Elsewhere, mining and quarrying, energy, water supply and waste management (minus 0.6 percent) contracted again as did construction (minus 1.2 percent).
Despite November's partial recovery, average industrial production in the first two months of the quarter was still 1.4 percent below its mean level in the previous period. Absent any revisions, December will need a monthly rise of more than 3.1 percent if the sector is to add to quarterly GDP growth. As such, today's update leaves the economy on course for a weak end to 2022. It also keeps the French ECDI (minus 15) below zero but lifts the ECDI-P (5) just back into positive surprise territory.