Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 614K | 589K to 640K | 616K | 640K | 602K |
Highlights
The modest uptick in month-over-month sales in October, November, and December has reduced the supply of homes available for sale. Homebuilders have been cutting back on residential construction projects, especially for single-family homes. The months' supply of homes for sale is down to 9.0 in December, after 9.2 in November, 9.4 in October, and the recent peak of 10.1 months in October.
Sales are aided by declines in prices in the last two months. The December median home price is $442,100, down 3.7 percent from $459,000 in November. Prices are still going up on a year-over-year basis with December up 7.8 percent compared to a year-ago.
The share of homes sold in December shows a shift to lower-priced units. Of the unadjusted total of 47,000 units sold in December 11 percent were in units under $300,000, up from a 7 percent share in November. Units sold in the $300,000-$499,000 price range account for 51 percent of the December total compared to 55 percent in November. Sales of units at $500,000 and over were unchanged with a 38 percent share.
Limited supplies of finished homes and a sense of urgency to purchase while mortgage rates are below the peak seen in October and November mean that new home buyers are committing to homes not yet built. The share of the adjusted total of 616,00 homes sold in December that were not yet started rose to 25 percent from 19 percent in November, was little changed for those under construction at 43 percent in December compared to 44 percent in November, and were down from completed units to a 32 percent share after 37 percent in the prior month.