Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.7% | -1.6% to -0.3% | -1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Highlights
Weakness is also evident in unfilled orders which were unchanged on the month for their poorest showing also in nearly two years, a reading that will limit expectations for further growth in factory payrolls. Inventories were unchanged in the month while shipments fell 0.6 percent.
November's split between the report's two main components shows a 1.4 percent drop in new orders for nondurable goods and a 2.1 percent drop in new orders for durable orders, the latter unrevised from the advance reading published late last month.
A negative of special concern is a marginal 0.1 percent rise in new orders for core capital goods (nondefense ex-aircraft). This follows a 0.7 percent drop in September and only a 0.3 percent rise in October and points to a lack of new business investment and underscores the general weakness of the report.
In contrast to employment (specifically this morning's very strong employment report), manufacturing activity is considered to be a leading signal for pivots in overall economic activity, and these results if extended in future months will raise recessionary concerns.