Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|
Output - M/M | -0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Output - Y/Y | 16.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% |
Input - M/M | -0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Input - Y/Y | 18.0% | 19.2% | 20.2% |
Highlights
Factory gate prices dipped a monthly 0.1 percent, putting annual inflation at 16.2 percent and an 8-month trough. The monthly change was dominated by a 5.9 percent slump in petrol prices, partially offset by a 4.6 percent jump in pharmaceuticals.
Input costs were down 0.2 percent on the month, reducing their yearly change from 20.2 percent to 18.0 percent, a 9-month low. Crude oil (minus 6.3 percent) and other produced materials (minus 1.7 percent) were largely responsible for the monthly decline.
For a more up to date picture, see today's December report.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The PPI provides a key measure of inflation alongside the consumer price indexes and GDP deflators. The output price indexes measure change in manufacturer' goods prices produced and often are referred to as factory gate prices. Input prices are not limited to just those materials used in the final product, but also include what is required by the company in its normal day-to-day operations.
The PPI is considered a precursor of both consumer price inflation and profits. If the prices paid to manufacturers increase, businesses are faced with either charging higher prices or taking a cut in profits. The ability to pass along price increases depends on the strength and competitiveness of the marketplace.
The bond market rallies when the PPI decreases or posts only small increases, but bond prices fall when the PPI posts larger-than-expected gains. The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.